The natural history of sporadic non-ampullary duodenal epithelial tumors: Can we wait and see?

Objectives: The natural history of sporadic non-ampullary duodenal epithelial tumors (SNADETs) is poorly documented. The aim of this study was to evaluate the history of SNADETs in patients where immediate resection could not be performed. Methods: This is a single-center retrospective study of 86 consecutive cases of SNADETs who did not undergo immediate resection and were followed-up with upper gastrointestinal endoscopy for more than 6 months. Results: During a follow-up period of 36.8 (6.0–613.0) months, macroscopic progression was admitted in eight (9.3%). Of these, the final histology in four was adenocarcinoma, and three cases demonstrated submucosal invasion. Rates of macroscopic progression at 150 months after detection were 11.1%, 16.7%, and 30.0% for SNADETs <5 mm, <10 mm, and ≥10 mm, respectively. Conclusion: The overall risk of SNADETs progressing to invasive cancer is low. However, changes in macroscopic size or shape of SNADETs signify a high risk of progression to invasive cancer.